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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><span id="sec0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Introduction</span><p id="par0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Rheumatoid Arthritis &#40;RA&#41; is a chronic inflammatory disease of unknown etiology that preferentially affects joints in a symmetric manner&#46; The course of the disease is variable because it leads to functional compromise from the onset&#44; progressing over time along with joint destruction and deformity&#44; which may lead to severe disability in a large percentage of affected personas&#44; work loss and even shortened survival&#46;</p><p id="par0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Prognostic factors &#40;PF&#41; are sociodemographic&#44; clinical&#44; analytical and&#47;or radiological data present at the beginning of the disease that provide prospective information of the patients&#8217; progress&#46; This information is useful in order to guide therapeutic decision&#46; The importance of PF is settled mainly in three aspects&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0005"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0005"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Classification&#58; allows the stratification of patients into homogeneous groups&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0010"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Therapeutic&#58; facilitate therapeutic choices for each patient&#44; as well as the comparison of these options between each group of patients with different prognostic characteristics&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0015"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Prevention&#58; the knowledge of PF allows us to initiate specific preventive actions&#46;</p></li></ul></p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We can classify PF into two groups&#58; those which are modifiable &#40;erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#91;ESR&#93;&#44; C reactive protein &#91;CRP&#93;&#44; DAS28&#44; HAQ&#44; and treatment&#41;&#44; and non modifiable &#40;gender&#44; age&#44; rheumatoid factor &#91;RF&#93;&#44; anti-CCP&#44; and shared epitope&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">One can talk about PF in relation to different aspects&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0010"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0020"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Functional prognosis&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0025"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Radiologic progression&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0030"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease remission&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0035"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Mortality&#46;</p></li></ul></p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Functional Prognosis</span><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Functional prognosis of disease refers to the degree of disability developed by a patient in the long term&#46; The possibility that a patient develops severe disability reaches 33&#37; in studies performed before the availability of anti-TNF&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> and said disability is reflected on the patients capacity to work&#44; which may be reduced in 50&#37; at 10 years since the onset of disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a></p><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">PF associated with a greater disability and identified in several studies are age &#40;OR&#61;1058 &#91;1017&#8211;1101&#93;&#41;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a> positive RF &#40;OR&#61;3772 &#91;1204&#8211;11<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>813&#93;&#41;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a> elevated baseline DAS28 &#40;OR&#61;2&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></a> and baseline HAQ&#62;1 &#40;OR&#61;4023 &#91;1373&#8211;11<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>783&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Radiologic Progression</span><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Radiographic remission is defined as the lack of progression of structural damage&#46; Irreversible structural lesions appear from the onset of the diseases&#46; Many of the patients attain clinical remission according to current remission criteria&#44; but in spite of a strict control of the disease or the minimum of joint clinical manifestations and normalization of the acute phase reactants&#44; a proportion of patients present progression of the structural damage&#44; joint deformity and reduction in quality of life&#46; This radiologic progression may be explained by maintained subclinical inflammation of the bone and cartilage during the course of disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a> In a review of the validity of remissions predictive value<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0030"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span></a> there was a relationship between remission of the disease and structural damage and long-term disability&#44; concluding that the patients who reach clinical remission according to current criteria have a tendency to show less functional impairment and slower radiographic progression&#46;</p><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">PF predicting radiologic progression as identified in different studies are&#58; female gender &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;3 &#91;1&#46;3&#8211;7&#46;6&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span> &#40;OR&#61;5&#46;5 &#91;1&#46;1&#8211;28&#46;2&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a>&#59; baseline ESR &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;2 &#91;1&#46;2&#8211;7&#46;6&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#59; baseline CRP&#59;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0040"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">9</span></a> positive RF &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;1 &#91;1&#46;2&#8211;7&#46;6&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#59; baseline anti-CCP titers &#40;OR&#61;4&#46;03 &#91;1&#46;65&#8211;9&#46;82&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a> &#40;low OR&#61;2&#46;6 &#91;0&#46;9&#8211;7&#46;2&#93;&#44; elevated OR&#61;9&#46;9 &#91;2&#46;7&#8211;36&#46;7&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span> &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;6 &#91;0&#46;9&#8211;14&#46;5&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a>&#59; bone edema seen on magnetic resonance &#40;MR&#41; &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;44 &#91;0&#46;95&#8211;2&#46;20&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a>&#59; sharp score &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;12 &#91;1&#46;03&#8211;1&#46;21&#93;&#41;&#59; shared epitope &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;0 &#91;1&#46;8&#8211;2&#46;2&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0045"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a> &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;1 &#91;1&#46;1&#8211;9&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Disease Remission</span><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease remission is generally a synonym of minimal clinical affection&#44; absence of synovitis and normal acute phase reactants&#46; If disease remission is achieved&#44; it will be more likely that the degree of long-term disability of the patient will be minimized&#46;</p><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A recent systematic review<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0050"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> outlining the variables that act as predictive factors of disease remission has been published&#46; The magnitude of association of each of them is variable in relation to the design and number of included patients in the analyzed studies&#44; as well as the variables used to adjust each model&#46; Factors identified can be grouped into three areas&#58; sociodemographic&#44; disease associated and treatment associated&#46; The factors most commonly associated with disease remission are rheumatoid factor&#44; disease activity as quantified by DAS28&#44; functional status &#40;HAQ&#41; and early onset of treatment&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0015"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0040"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">1&#46;</span><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Sociodemographic factors&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0020"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0045"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Gender&#58; among the studies evaluating the effect of gender on disease remission&#44; 5 of 11 studies&#44; among them TEMPO<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0055"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> and ReAct&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a> conclude that male gender is an independent predictive factor of disease remission in a maintained manner&#46; The rest of the evaluated studies did not show gender as a remission-predicting factor&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0050"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age and age at onset of disease&#58; it has been observed that age acts as a significant predictor of disease remission in an inverse manner&#44; in 2 cohorts of patients treated with anti-TNF&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0025"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0055"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">1&#46;</span><p id="par0105" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">GISEA<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0065"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a> trial&#58; patients treated with anti-TNF over 53 years of age have less probability of achieving remission after adjusting for gender&#44; RF and baseline disease activity &#40;OR&#61;0&#46;64 &#91;0&#46;4&#8211;0&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0060"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">2&#46;</span><p id="par0110" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">ReAct trial<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a>&#58; patients treated with adalimumab under 40 years of age have a higher tendency to achieve remission after 3 years of follow up versus those older than 40 &#40;HR&#61;0&#46;61&#8211;0&#46;87&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0065"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">3&#46;</span><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">FIN-RACo<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0070"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> trial&#58; did not confirm age at onset of disease as an independent prediction factor for remission&#46;</p></li></ul></p></li></ul></p><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study by Pease et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0075"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a> concludes that onset of disease in persons over 65 acts as an independent remission factor in patients treated with DMARD &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;99 &#91;1&#46;8&#8211;5&#93;&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">After gender and age&#44; one may deduce that female gender and advanced age have less chance to achieve remission&#46; These data must be used relatively because of the limited the parameters used to measure the degree of disease activity and remission criteria have in these populations&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0030"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0070"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Genetic markers&#58; their use is restricted to clinical trials&#46; It has been shown that the presence of shared epitope&#44; both specific predisposing alleles HLA-DQB1&#47;HLA-DQA&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> and the protective HLA-DRB<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> allele are not associated with remission in RA when adjusted for RF and the use of DMARD&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0080"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0075"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Smoking&#58; The results obtained in two studies are contradictory and the effect of tobacco on disease activity must be confirmed by future research&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;18</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0080"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Comorbidity&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0035"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0085"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">1&#46;</span><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">ReAct trial<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a>&#58; the presence of more than one comorbidity is related to a lessened probability of achieving clinical remission &#40;HR&#61;0&#46;85 &#91;0&#46;78&#8211;0&#46;93&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0090"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">2&#46;</span><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study by Hyrich et al&#46; did not show a significant association between the presence of comorbidity and disease remission in patients treated with ETN and IFX&#46;</p></li></ul></p></li></ul></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0095"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">2&#46;</span><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease dependent factors&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0040"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0100"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease activity&#58; most of the studies showed that the degree of disease activity quantified by DAS28 is inversely related to disease remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;19&#8211;21</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0105"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Functional status &#40;HAQ&#41;&#58; numerous studies on cohorts of patients treated with DMARD or anti-TNF have shown that the functional status as quantified by the baseline HAQ behaves as an independent predictor of disease remission in all models in an inverse manner&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;21</span></a> This association has not been documented in early onset RA&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0090"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a></p></li></ul></p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Occasionally&#44; disease activity measures or remission criteria may not truly reflect the degree of disease because they take into account the patient&#39;s perception of pain or the global disease activity evaluation&#46; For example&#44; it has been shown that women with RA have a tendency to evaluate in a more severe way than the disease with respect to men and these data may reflect less precision on the evaluation of disease activity by this specific population&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0045"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0110"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Duration of disease&#58; patients with longer diseases have less chances of achieving persistent clinical remission &#40;OR&#61;0&#46;87&#8211;0&#46;91&#59; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span>&#8804;&#46;004&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a> In other cohort studies using anti-TNF it has been impossible to determine if the time since the onset of disease is a predictor of remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;22</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0115"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Rheumatoid factor&#58; most of the studies have shown that RF is inversely related to disease remission&#46; However&#44; the predictive value of baseline RF disappears when adjusted for anti-CCP titers&#44; the treatment strategy employed &#40;combination DMARD or anti-TNF&#41; and the presence of shared epitope&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0120"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Anti-CCP&#58; Baseline anti-CCP titers have been inversely related with the probability of remission at 24 months since onset &#40;OR&#61;0&#46;6 &#91;0&#46;5&#8211;0&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a> adjusted for DAS&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0135"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a> duration of disease&#44; HAQ and male gender&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0125"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Acute phase reactant plasma levels&#58; patients with a baseline CRP plasma determination equal or over 20<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;l have a reduced probability of achieving disease remission &#40;HR&#61;0&#46;8 &#91;0&#46;8&#8211;0&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0130"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0195" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Radiologic affection&#58; a Sharp score under 4 behaves as an independent remission factor when adjusting for other variables &#40;DAS&#44; morning stiffness&#44; HAQ&#60;1&#46;25&#44; Ritchie score&#41; &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;99 &#91;0&#46;98&#8211;4&#46;0&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0090"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a></p></li></ul></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0135"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">3&#46;</span><p id="par0200" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Treatment dependent factors&#58; numerous published studies show that patients receiving early treatment with DMARD&#44; anti-TNF or combinations of DMARD and anti-TNF have a greater probability of achieving disease remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;15&#44;23</span></a> On the other hand&#44; the number of DMARDs employed prior to anti-TNF is inversely related to the probability of disease remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0110"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23&#44;24</span></a></p></li></ul></p><p id="par0205" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Lastly&#44; patients in which the start of treatment is delayed for more than 4 months since the onset of disease have a reduced chance of attaining clinical remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0120"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Mortality</span><p id="par0210" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">While the general population mortality rate has substantially decreased during the past 4&#8211;5 decades&#44; this improvement in survival has not been shown to occur in patients with RA&#44; with survival remaining constant&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a> One of the main causes of mortality in patients with RA is that of cardiovascular origin&#44; but classic cardiovascular risk factors by themselves do not justify this increase in RA patient mortality with respect to the general population&#46; However&#44; disease inflammatory activity does play an important role in it&#46;</p><p id="par0215" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In studies prior to the use of anti-TNF and in current disease incidence cohorts it has been demonstrated that there is a difference between life expectancy between the general population and patients with RA which has increased in recent decades&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26&#44;27</span></a></p><p id="par0220" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Studies evaluating the influence of RF on survival of patients with RA observed an inversely proportional relationship in patients with positive RF&#44; while those negative to RF had a mortality on par with the general population&#46; The increase in the mortality rate between patients with RA and the general population is confirmed for patients with RA and positive RF&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a> The other mortality associated PF identified in RA are<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a>&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0050"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0140"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0225" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age &#40;HR&#61;1&#46;1 &#91;1&#46;09&#8211;1&#46;12&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0145"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0230" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Male gender &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;90 &#91;1&#46;43&#8211;2&#46;52&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0150"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0235" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Elevated HAQ scores maintained throughout the progression of the disease &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleMonospace">&#61;</span>1&#46;46 &#91;1&#46;19&#8211;1&#46;79&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0155"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0240" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Comorbidities &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;83 &#91;1&#46;38&#8211;2&#46;42&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0160"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0245" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Low schooling levels&#58; lack of secondary schooling is associated with a reduction of over 50&#37; in the functional status or 9 year mortality rates &#40;OR&#61;7&#46;5&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0135"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0165"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0250" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Depression&#58; patients with depression have higher mortality &#40;HR&#61;2&#46;2 &#91;1&#46;2&#8211;3&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0140"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">29</span></a></p></li></ul></p></span><span id="sec0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Conclusion</span><p id="par0255" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We have identified predictors of disease among which are age&#44; rheumatoid factor&#44; the degree of disease activity &#40;DAS<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0135"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a>&#41;&#44; functional status &#40;HAQ&#41; and early treatment&#46; These prognostic factors present at the onset of the disease help us to identify patients most likely to present a more aggressive course of RA&#46; In these patients combination therapy with DMARDs and anti-TNF at the onset of disease<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0145"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">30</span></a> may be indicated to achieve as low an inflammatory activity as possible&#44; maintaining it during activity and minimizing morbidity and mortality attributable to RA&#46; However&#44; more studies are needed to establish long-term benefits of aggressive treatment strategies&#46;</p></span></span>"
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        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<p id="spar0005" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Rheumatoid arthritis &#40;RA&#41; is an inflammatory disease of unknown etiology&#44; which predominantly affects joints and that confers poor functional and vital outcome&#46; In many patients the inflammatory process is maintained for years&#44; and results in joint destruction and long-term functional disability&#46; Prognostic factors &#40;PF&#41; are demographic&#44; clinical&#44; laboratory and&#47;or radiographic and should be evaluated at the onset of the disease&#44; providing the physician prospective information on patient outcome&#46; The challenge for the rheumatologist is to identify patients who present a poor prognosis in early rheumatoid arthritis and formulate treatment accordingly&#46;</p>"
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        "resumen" => "<p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">La artritis reumatoide &#40;AR&#41; es una enfermedad inflamatoria de etiolog&#237;a desconocida y de predominio articular que condiciona mal pron&#243;stico funcional y vital&#46; En muchos pacientes el proceso inflamatorio mantenido durante a&#241;os se traduce en destrucci&#243;n articular e impotencia funcional a largo plazo&#46; Los factores pron&#243;sticos &#40;FP&#41; son datos sociodemogr&#225;ficos&#44; cl&#237;nicos&#44; anal&#237;ticos y&#47;o radiol&#243;gicos presentes al inicio de la enfermedad que nos proporcionan informaci&#243;n prospectiva de la evoluci&#243;n del paciente&#46; El reto del especialista en reumatolog&#237;a es identificar a los pacientes que presenten signos de mal pron&#243;stico en el inicio de la enfermedad y desarrollar una estrategia terap&#233;utica apropiada&#46;</p>"
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        "nota" => "<p class="elsevierStyleNotepara">Please cite this article as&#58; Robustillo Villarino M&#44; Rodr&#237;guez Moreno J&#46; &#191;Son &#250;tiles los factores pron&#243;stico en la artritis reumatoide&#63; Reumatol Clin&#46; 2011&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleInterRef" href="doi:10.1016/j.reuma.2010.11.006">doi&#58;10&#46;1016&#47;j&#46;reuma&#46;2010&#46;11&#46;006</span>&#46;</p>"
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Continuing Medical Education
Are Prognostic Factors Useful in Rheumatoid Arthritis?
¿Son útiles los factores pronóstico en la artritis reumatoide?
Montserrat Robustillo Villarino
Corresponding author
, Jesús Rodríguez Moreno
Servicio de Reumatología, Hospital Universitario de Bellvitge, L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><span id="sec0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Introduction</span><p id="par0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Rheumatoid Arthritis &#40;RA&#41; is a chronic inflammatory disease of unknown etiology that preferentially affects joints in a symmetric manner&#46; The course of the disease is variable because it leads to functional compromise from the onset&#44; progressing over time along with joint destruction and deformity&#44; which may lead to severe disability in a large percentage of affected personas&#44; work loss and even shortened survival&#46;</p><p id="par0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Prognostic factors &#40;PF&#41; are sociodemographic&#44; clinical&#44; analytical and&#47;or radiological data present at the beginning of the disease that provide prospective information of the patients&#8217; progress&#46; This information is useful in order to guide therapeutic decision&#46; The importance of PF is settled mainly in three aspects&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0005"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0005"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Classification&#58; allows the stratification of patients into homogeneous groups&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0010"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Therapeutic&#58; facilitate therapeutic choices for each patient&#44; as well as the comparison of these options between each group of patients with different prognostic characteristics&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0015"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Prevention&#58; the knowledge of PF allows us to initiate specific preventive actions&#46;</p></li></ul></p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We can classify PF into two groups&#58; those which are modifiable &#40;erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#91;ESR&#93;&#44; C reactive protein &#91;CRP&#93;&#44; DAS28&#44; HAQ&#44; and treatment&#41;&#44; and non modifiable &#40;gender&#44; age&#44; rheumatoid factor &#91;RF&#93;&#44; anti-CCP&#44; and shared epitope&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">One can talk about PF in relation to different aspects&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0010"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0020"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Functional prognosis&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0025"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Radiologic progression&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0030"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease remission&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0035"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Mortality&#46;</p></li></ul></p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Functional Prognosis</span><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Functional prognosis of disease refers to the degree of disability developed by a patient in the long term&#46; The possibility that a patient develops severe disability reaches 33&#37; in studies performed before the availability of anti-TNF&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> and said disability is reflected on the patients capacity to work&#44; which may be reduced in 50&#37; at 10 years since the onset of disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a></p><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">PF associated with a greater disability and identified in several studies are age &#40;OR&#61;1058 &#91;1017&#8211;1101&#93;&#41;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a> positive RF &#40;OR&#61;3772 &#91;1204&#8211;11<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>813&#93;&#41;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a> elevated baseline DAS28 &#40;OR&#61;2&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></a> and baseline HAQ&#62;1 &#40;OR&#61;4023 &#91;1373&#8211;11<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>783&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Radiologic Progression</span><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Radiographic remission is defined as the lack of progression of structural damage&#46; Irreversible structural lesions appear from the onset of the diseases&#46; Many of the patients attain clinical remission according to current remission criteria&#44; but in spite of a strict control of the disease or the minimum of joint clinical manifestations and normalization of the acute phase reactants&#44; a proportion of patients present progression of the structural damage&#44; joint deformity and reduction in quality of life&#46; This radiologic progression may be explained by maintained subclinical inflammation of the bone and cartilage during the course of disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a> In a review of the validity of remissions predictive value<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0030"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span></a> there was a relationship between remission of the disease and structural damage and long-term disability&#44; concluding that the patients who reach clinical remission according to current criteria have a tendency to show less functional impairment and slower radiographic progression&#46;</p><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">PF predicting radiologic progression as identified in different studies are&#58; female gender &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;3 &#91;1&#46;3&#8211;7&#46;6&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span> &#40;OR&#61;5&#46;5 &#91;1&#46;1&#8211;28&#46;2&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a>&#59; baseline ESR &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;2 &#91;1&#46;2&#8211;7&#46;6&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#59; baseline CRP&#59;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0040"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">9</span></a> positive RF &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;1 &#91;1&#46;2&#8211;7&#46;6&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#59; baseline anti-CCP titers &#40;OR&#61;4&#46;03 &#91;1&#46;65&#8211;9&#46;82&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a> &#40;low OR&#61;2&#46;6 &#91;0&#46;9&#8211;7&#46;2&#93;&#44; elevated OR&#61;9&#46;9 &#91;2&#46;7&#8211;36&#46;7&#93;&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span> &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;6 &#91;0&#46;9&#8211;14&#46;5&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a>&#59; bone edema seen on magnetic resonance &#40;MR&#41; &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;44 &#91;0&#46;95&#8211;2&#46;20&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a>&#59; sharp score &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;12 &#91;1&#46;03&#8211;1&#46;21&#93;&#41;&#59; shared epitope &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;0 &#91;1&#46;8&#8211;2&#46;2&#93;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0045"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a> &#40;OR&#61;3&#46;1 &#91;1&#46;1&#8211;9&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Disease Remission</span><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease remission is generally a synonym of minimal clinical affection&#44; absence of synovitis and normal acute phase reactants&#46; If disease remission is achieved&#44; it will be more likely that the degree of long-term disability of the patient will be minimized&#46;</p><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A recent systematic review<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0050"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> outlining the variables that act as predictive factors of disease remission has been published&#46; The magnitude of association of each of them is variable in relation to the design and number of included patients in the analyzed studies&#44; as well as the variables used to adjust each model&#46; Factors identified can be grouped into three areas&#58; sociodemographic&#44; disease associated and treatment associated&#46; The factors most commonly associated with disease remission are rheumatoid factor&#44; disease activity as quantified by DAS28&#44; functional status &#40;HAQ&#41; and early onset of treatment&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0015"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0040"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">1&#46;</span><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Sociodemographic factors&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0020"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0045"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Gender&#58; among the studies evaluating the effect of gender on disease remission&#44; 5 of 11 studies&#44; among them TEMPO<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0055"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> and ReAct&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a> conclude that male gender is an independent predictive factor of disease remission in a maintained manner&#46; The rest of the evaluated studies did not show gender as a remission-predicting factor&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0050"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age and age at onset of disease&#58; it has been observed that age acts as a significant predictor of disease remission in an inverse manner&#44; in 2 cohorts of patients treated with anti-TNF&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0025"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0055"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">1&#46;</span><p id="par0105" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">GISEA<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0065"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a> trial&#58; patients treated with anti-TNF over 53 years of age have less probability of achieving remission after adjusting for gender&#44; RF and baseline disease activity &#40;OR&#61;0&#46;64 &#91;0&#46;4&#8211;0&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0060"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">2&#46;</span><p id="par0110" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">ReAct trial<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a>&#58; patients treated with adalimumab under 40 years of age have a higher tendency to achieve remission after 3 years of follow up versus those older than 40 &#40;HR&#61;0&#46;61&#8211;0&#46;87&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0065"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">3&#46;</span><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">FIN-RACo<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0070"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> trial&#58; did not confirm age at onset of disease as an independent prediction factor for remission&#46;</p></li></ul></p></li></ul></p><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study by Pease et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0075"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a> concludes that onset of disease in persons over 65 acts as an independent remission factor in patients treated with DMARD &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;99 &#91;1&#46;8&#8211;5&#93;&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">After gender and age&#44; one may deduce that female gender and advanced age have less chance to achieve remission&#46; These data must be used relatively because of the limited the parameters used to measure the degree of disease activity and remission criteria have in these populations&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0030"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0070"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Genetic markers&#58; their use is restricted to clinical trials&#46; It has been shown that the presence of shared epitope&#44; both specific predisposing alleles HLA-DQB1&#47;HLA-DQA&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> and the protective HLA-DRB<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> allele are not associated with remission in RA when adjusted for RF and the use of DMARD&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0080"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0075"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Smoking&#58; The results obtained in two studies are contradictory and the effect of tobacco on disease activity must be confirmed by future research&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;18</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0080"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Comorbidity&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0035"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0085"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">1&#46;</span><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">ReAct trial<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a>&#58; the presence of more than one comorbidity is related to a lessened probability of achieving clinical remission &#40;HR&#61;0&#46;85 &#91;0&#46;78&#8211;0&#46;93&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0090"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">2&#46;</span><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study by Hyrich et al&#46; did not show a significant association between the presence of comorbidity and disease remission in patients treated with ETN and IFX&#46;</p></li></ul></p></li></ul></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0095"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">2&#46;</span><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease dependent factors&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0040"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0100"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Disease activity&#58; most of the studies showed that the degree of disease activity quantified by DAS28 is inversely related to disease remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;19&#8211;21</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0105"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Functional status &#40;HAQ&#41;&#58; numerous studies on cohorts of patients treated with DMARD or anti-TNF have shown that the functional status as quantified by the baseline HAQ behaves as an independent predictor of disease remission in all models in an inverse manner&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;21</span></a> This association has not been documented in early onset RA&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0090"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a></p></li></ul></p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Occasionally&#44; disease activity measures or remission criteria may not truly reflect the degree of disease because they take into account the patient&#39;s perception of pain or the global disease activity evaluation&#46; For example&#44; it has been shown that women with RA have a tendency to evaluate in a more severe way than the disease with respect to men and these data may reflect less precision on the evaluation of disease activity by this specific population&#46;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0045"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0110"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Duration of disease&#58; patients with longer diseases have less chances of achieving persistent clinical remission &#40;OR&#61;0&#46;87&#8211;0&#46;91&#59; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span>&#8804;&#46;004&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a> In other cohort studies using anti-TNF it has been impossible to determine if the time since the onset of disease is a predictor of remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;22</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0115"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Rheumatoid factor&#58; most of the studies have shown that RF is inversely related to disease remission&#46; However&#44; the predictive value of baseline RF disappears when adjusted for anti-CCP titers&#44; the treatment strategy employed &#40;combination DMARD or anti-TNF&#41; and the presence of shared epitope&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0120"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Anti-CCP&#58; Baseline anti-CCP titers have been inversely related with the probability of remission at 24 months since onset &#40;OR&#61;0&#46;6 &#91;0&#46;5&#8211;0&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a> adjusted for DAS&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0135"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a> duration of disease&#44; HAQ and male gender&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0125"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Acute phase reactant plasma levels&#58; patients with a baseline CRP plasma determination equal or over 20<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;l have a reduced probability of achieving disease remission &#40;HR&#61;0&#46;8 &#91;0&#46;8&#8211;0&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0130"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0195" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Radiologic affection&#58; a Sharp score under 4 behaves as an independent remission factor when adjusting for other variables &#40;DAS&#44; morning stiffness&#44; HAQ&#60;1&#46;25&#44; Ritchie score&#41; &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;99 &#91;0&#46;98&#8211;4&#46;0&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0090"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a></p></li></ul></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0135"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">3&#46;</span><p id="par0200" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Treatment dependent factors&#58; numerous published studies show that patients receiving early treatment with DMARD&#44; anti-TNF or combinations of DMARD and anti-TNF have a greater probability of achieving disease remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13&#44;15&#44;23</span></a> On the other hand&#44; the number of DMARDs employed prior to anti-TNF is inversely related to the probability of disease remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0110"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23&#44;24</span></a></p></li></ul></p><p id="par0205" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Lastly&#44; patients in which the start of treatment is delayed for more than 4 months since the onset of disease have a reduced chance of attaining clinical remission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0120"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Mortality</span><p id="par0210" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">While the general population mortality rate has substantially decreased during the past 4&#8211;5 decades&#44; this improvement in survival has not been shown to occur in patients with RA&#44; with survival remaining constant&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a> One of the main causes of mortality in patients with RA is that of cardiovascular origin&#44; but classic cardiovascular risk factors by themselves do not justify this increase in RA patient mortality with respect to the general population&#46; However&#44; disease inflammatory activity does play an important role in it&#46;</p><p id="par0215" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In studies prior to the use of anti-TNF and in current disease incidence cohorts it has been demonstrated that there is a difference between life expectancy between the general population and patients with RA which has increased in recent decades&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26&#44;27</span></a></p><p id="par0220" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Studies evaluating the influence of RF on survival of patients with RA observed an inversely proportional relationship in patients with positive RF&#44; while those negative to RF had a mortality on par with the general population&#46; The increase in the mortality rate between patients with RA and the general population is confirmed for patients with RA and positive RF&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a> The other mortality associated PF identified in RA are<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a>&#58;<ul class="elsevierStyleList" id="lis0050"><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0140"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0225" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age &#40;HR&#61;1&#46;1 &#91;1&#46;09&#8211;1&#46;12&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0145"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0230" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Male gender &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;90 &#91;1&#46;43&#8211;2&#46;52&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0150"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0235" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Elevated HAQ scores maintained throughout the progression of the disease &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleMonospace">&#61;</span>1&#46;46 &#91;1&#46;19&#8211;1&#46;79&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0155"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0240" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Comorbidities &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;83 &#91;1&#46;38&#8211;2&#46;42&#93;&#41;&#46;</p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0160"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0245" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Low schooling levels&#58; lack of secondary schooling is associated with a reduction of over 50&#37; in the functional status or 9 year mortality rates &#40;OR&#61;7&#46;5&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0135"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a></p></li><li class="elsevierStyleListItem" id="lsti0165"><span class="elsevierStyleLabel">&#8211;</span><p id="par0250" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Depression&#58; patients with depression have higher mortality &#40;HR&#61;2&#46;2 &#91;1&#46;2&#8211;3&#46;9&#93;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0140"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">29</span></a></p></li></ul></p></span><span id="sec0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle">Conclusion</span><p id="par0255" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We have identified predictors of disease among which are age&#44; rheumatoid factor&#44; the degree of disease activity &#40;DAS<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0135"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a>&#41;&#44; functional status &#40;HAQ&#41; and early treatment&#46; These prognostic factors present at the onset of the disease help us to identify patients most likely to present a more aggressive course of RA&#46; In these patients combination therapy with DMARDs and anti-TNF at the onset of disease<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0145"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">30</span></a> may be indicated to achieve as low an inflammatory activity as possible&#44; maintaining it during activity and minimizing morbidity and mortality attributable to RA&#46; However&#44; more studies are needed to establish long-term benefits of aggressive treatment strategies&#46;</p></span></span>"
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      "en" => array:2 [
        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<p id="spar0005" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Rheumatoid arthritis &#40;RA&#41; is an inflammatory disease of unknown etiology&#44; which predominantly affects joints and that confers poor functional and vital outcome&#46; In many patients the inflammatory process is maintained for years&#44; and results in joint destruction and long-term functional disability&#46; Prognostic factors &#40;PF&#41; are demographic&#44; clinical&#44; laboratory and&#47;or radiographic and should be evaluated at the onset of the disease&#44; providing the physician prospective information on patient outcome&#46; The challenge for the rheumatologist is to identify patients who present a poor prognosis in early rheumatoid arthritis and formulate treatment accordingly&#46;</p>"
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      "es" => array:2 [
        "titulo" => "Resumen"
        "resumen" => "<p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">La artritis reumatoide &#40;AR&#41; es una enfermedad inflamatoria de etiolog&#237;a desconocida y de predominio articular que condiciona mal pron&#243;stico funcional y vital&#46; En muchos pacientes el proceso inflamatorio mantenido durante a&#241;os se traduce en destrucci&#243;n articular e impotencia funcional a largo plazo&#46; Los factores pron&#243;sticos &#40;FP&#41; son datos sociodemogr&#225;ficos&#44; cl&#237;nicos&#44; anal&#237;ticos y&#47;o radiol&#243;gicos presentes al inicio de la enfermedad que nos proporcionan informaci&#243;n prospectiva de la evoluci&#243;n del paciente&#46; El reto del especialista en reumatolog&#237;a es identificar a los pacientes que presenten signos de mal pron&#243;stico en el inicio de la enfermedad y desarrollar una estrategia terap&#233;utica apropiada&#46;</p>"
      ]
    ]
    "NotaPie" => array:1 [
      0 => array:2 [
        "etiqueta" => "&#9734;"
        "nota" => "<p class="elsevierStyleNotepara">Please cite this article as&#58; Robustillo Villarino M&#44; Rodr&#237;guez Moreno J&#46; &#191;Son &#250;tiles los factores pron&#243;stico en la artritis reumatoide&#63; Reumatol Clin&#46; 2011&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleInterRef" href="doi:10.1016/j.reuma.2010.11.006">doi&#58;10&#46;1016&#47;j&#46;reuma&#46;2010&#46;11&#46;006</span>&#46;</p>"
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    ]
    "bibliografia" => array:2 [
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